Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 903.889019 1026.145937 1163.575062 1330.425887 1528.751696 1758.488477 2046.982712
2025-04-06 698.700557 851.068679 1038.691326 1290.233800 1624.104671 2060.039304 2686.006215
2025-04-13 584.511380 742.984390 949.386951 1244.149078 1664.948774 2261.507000 3205.024169
2025-04-20 533.038998 702.636433 934.488540 1284.619559 1818.678258 2636.539540 4057.860947
2025-04-27 485.864406 659.463589 906.319773 1296.812919 1926.939445 2959.314468 4913.500477
2025-05-04 450.943098 628.087220 888.984472 1319.438280 2051.264162 3329.746407 5962.025647
2025-05-11 420.496644 599.077500 870.365344 1335.187686 2164.065427 3701.802378 7136.208080
2025-05-18 402.046585 585.723062 873.482916 1385.696954 2345.051422 4241.228556 8868.831030
2025-05-25 379.875894 563.960776 860.021732 1404.650742 2469.685771 4698.103788 10604.004930
2025-06-01 356.307573 537.536791 835.627423 1399.878869 2546.037329 5070.254964 12292.236771
2025-06-08 334.968611 512.767263 811.274733 1391.408792 2612.513770 5436.502645 14147.443846
2025-06-15 321.916740 500.631670 807.453807 1421.309382 2765.783351 6053.183544 17132.132108
2025-06-22 298.013687 468.870356 767.081391 1376.775279 2752.887310 6265.232281 18965.289802
2025-06-29 276.792275 440.325395 730.295433 1335.663025 2742.686748 6490.136414 21048.366377
2025-07-06 256.892128 412.582884 692.444322 1287.457445 2706.638780 6633.285435 22927.899560
2025-07-13 250.010225 407.530462 696.791190 1329.733089 2903.058468 7534.913786 29016.444175
2025-07-20 240.229987 396.394343 688.271968 1342.471219 3026.594539 8258.544841 35084.993408
2025-07-27 232.408544 388.254020 684.812910 1366.112069 3185.129008 9168.661244 43456.161491
2025-08-03 224.430865 379.205082 678.647091 1382.571136 3327.837382 10089.517433 53425.631702
2025-08-10 220.443902 377.442108 687.158308 1435.371687 3590.530927 11608.587951 71008.195301
2025-08-17 213.666556 369.755222 682.551873 1455.191236 3758.268512 12833.936088 89341.880705
2025-08-24 205.249343 358.270816 668.868207 1450.201094 3846.417451 13760.839110 107496.996784
2025-08-31 197.114282 346.836902 654.374924 1441.344089 3920.727218 14672.688353 128766.796702